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German
businesses are more confident about their prospects than at any
time since 1991, research has suggested, as the economy continues
to strengthen.
According to the Ifo Institute, optimism among German businesses
is at its strongest since unification.
It said it did not believe a sharp rise in VAT rates next month
would hamper Germany's growing economic recovery.
But some analysts said the data might force policymakers to consider
another rise in eurozone interest rates. |
'Economic
boom'
Rates are already at a five-year high of 3.5%
and recent signs pointing to a sustained upturn in Germany, Europe's
largest economy, could force the European Central Bank to act again.
Unemployment has fallen to a four-year low and a boom in exports
has pushed the trade surplus to a record high.
Leading companies reported strong profit figures in the last quarter.
In its latest survey of 7,000 businesses, Ifo found that confidence
is at its highest level since it began its research in 1991.
The result exceeded analysts' expectations.
"The German economy is experiencing a very strong economic
boom, as last observed in 1990," Ifo said in a statement.
Inflation watch
Consumer spending has been boosted in recent
months by people making large purchases ahead of the rise in VAT
to 19% on 1 January.
Economists believe the tax rise, designed to boost the public finances,
is unlikely to derail the pace of economic recovery.
"Companies still expect a pick-up, even if a dip comes at the
start of the year due to the sales tax increase," said Andreas
Scheuerle, an economist with DekaBank.
But the strong economic indicators have raised concerns about inflationary
pressures and how far the ECB will go to address these.
"We expect another rate hike in the first quarter, and after
today's Ifo data, one has to reconsider whether another hike might
follow that," said Daniel Hupfer, from investment bank MM Warburg.
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